The Short Answer

Why did Markham-area rents drop nearly 5%? Average rents in York Region fell roughly 4.5% year-over-year (into early 2026), driven mainly by a wave of new condo completions in Markham, Vaughan, and Richmond Hill that added supply to the one- and two-bedroom segment. Notably, this is a supply story, not weak demand — lease volume actually rose. For landlords, it means pricing realistically, expecting more competition, and understanding which segments held up best.

After years of relentless rent increases, Markham-area landlords are facing something different: softening rents. It's a meaningful shift — but understanding why it's happening matters just as much as the number itself. Michael John Lau, a top real estate agent in Markham and a CPA/CMA, breaks down what's behind the drop and what it means for landlords.

The data: Average rents in York Region declined roughly 4.5% year-over-year (from about $2,821 to $2,695 into early 2026, based on MLS® data), with the Markham area among the softer markets. Some reports show even steeper declines in certain Markham unit types. Crucially, lease volume rose over 11% year-over-year — meaning this is driven by increased supply, not falling demand. Figures from MLS® rental data and rent reports (early 2026); confirm current figures, as rental data shifts monthly.

Why Rents Are Softening: A Supply Story

The single most important thing for landlords to understand is why rents dropped — because the cause is reassuring:

A wave of new condo completions

Markham, Vaughan, and Richmond Hill have seen a significant number of new condo buildings completed and their units hit the rental market. This surge of new supply — concentrated in the one- and two-bedroom segment — is the primary driver of softer rents. Many of these units were bought pre-construction by investors in 2021–2022, now all leasing up around the same time.

Demand is actually strong

Here's the key: this isn't a demand problem. Lease volume grew over 11% year-over-year — renters are active and renting. The moderation is supply-driven (more units to choose from), not a sign of weakening rental demand. That's a fundamentally healthier situation than a demand-led decline.

Detached and townhouse rentals held up better

Just like the sales market, the rental softening is concentrated in the condo segment. Detached and townhouse rentals held their value comparatively better across the region — a segment distinction that matters for landlords.

Modern condominium rental buildings and residential units in Markham
A surge of newly completed condominium developments in Markham has expanded rental inventory and created competitive options for tenants.

What This Means for Landlords

Price realistically to current conditions

With more rental supply available, pricing matters more. Overpricing a unit means longer vacancy while renters choose competing options. Pricing to what comparable units are actually leasing for today is essential to minimize costly vacancy.

Expect more competition — presentation counts

In a market with more choice, your unit needs to stand out. Clean presentation, good photos, and move-in-ready condition help attract quality tenants faster in a more competitive field.

Know your segment

If you own a condo, you're in the softer, more competitive segment — realistic pricing and strong presentation matter most. If you own a detached or townhouse rental, you're in a comparatively stronger position. Understanding where your property sits helps you set expectations.

Understand the rent-control picture

An important nuance: Ontario's annual rent-increase guideline only applies to units first occupied before November 15, 2018. Most newer condo buildings are exempt, meaning landlords can reset to market rent between tenancies — relevant both for setting rents and for tenant-retention strategy in a softer market. (This is general information; confirm your specific situation.)

The Bigger Picture for Investors

For real estate investors, the current rental softening is worth putting in context. Rents remain substantial (Markham averages among the higher in the GTA), and the decline is a supply-cycle adjustment, not a collapse — with strong underlying demand (rising lease volume) and Markham's powerful fundamentals (jobs, schools, immigration, desirability) intact. Investors who bought pre-construction may find current rents closer to — or occasionally below — original projections, which underscores the importance of realistic underwriting. But the long-term rental demand story in Markham remains strong.

Michael John Lau, one of Markham's leading REALTORS® and a CPA/CMA, brings a genuinely analytical, numbers-first perspective to rental and investment decisions — helping landlords price realistically, understand their segment, and see the full picture behind the headlines. If you're a landlord or investor navigating today's rental market, let's talk through your specific situation.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did rents drop in Markham and York Region?
Average York Region rents fell roughly 4.5% year-over-year into early 2026, driven mainly by a wave of new condo completions in Markham, Vaughan, and Richmond Hill that added supply to the one- and two-bedroom segment. Importantly, lease volume rose over 11%, meaning it's a supply-driven adjustment, not weakening demand.
What should landlords do about falling rents?
Price realistically to current market conditions to avoid costly vacancy, invest in strong presentation to compete for tenants, understand your segment (condos are softer; detached/townhouse rentals held up better), and understand rent-control rules (units first occupied after Nov 15, 2018 are generally exempt from the guideline). Consult a professional for your situation.
Are rental prices going to keep falling in Markham?
The current softening is a supply-cycle adjustment from new condo completions, not a demand collapse — underlying demand is strong (lease volume rose). Rental data shifts monthly, so confirm current figures. Markham's long-term rental fundamentals (jobs, schools, immigration, desirability) remain strong, though realistic pricing and underwriting matter in the near term.

Navigate the Rental Market With Data

Michael John Lau, REALTOR® CPA, CMA, brings a numbers-first lens to rental and investment decisions. Landlord or investor? Let's talk through your specific situation.